Let’s take a look at the week’s main matched betting action with this mid-December update.
This week has seen some important Champions League and Europa League football.
Unibet penalty payback
On all English Premier League and UEFA Champions League matches. Cash refund on losing first goalscorer, correct score and half-time/full-time bets up to £100 per market on each match – if a penalty is awarded.
Wednesday 12 December 2018 saw many penalty payback refunds. This was despite most of my stakes getting referred traders.
My strategy is to try placing a £50 stake. Unibet might offer me “bet £10 now, refer the other £40 for approval”. I’ll take £10, then see if Unibet traders approve the £40 remainder. Sometimes the whole stake is rejected, especially for a good odds match like 4.10/4.50.
I qualified for penalty payback on the following selections this week:
Man City vs. Hoffenheim
- Gabriel Jesus first goalscorer 4.4/4.9.
- Man City/Man City half-time/full-time 1.75/1.9.
Young Boys vs. Juventus
- First goalscorers: Cristiano Ronaldo 3.5/4.00 and Mario Mandzukic 6.25/6.6.
- Juventus/Juventus half-time/full-time 1.93/2.1.
Ajax vs. Bayern Munich
- Bayern HT/FT 3.25/3.7.
Betting shop action
I am a regular visitor to the retail betting establishments to hoover up any value on offer. This includes coupon arbitrage bets, Paddy Power refund offers, plus occasional arbs on the self-service betting terminals.
Thursday 13 December 2018 – Vidi vs. Chelsea:
I placed £25 on Alvaro Morata first goalscorer at odds of 4/1 (5.0). The lay was 5.70 on Betfair.
This bet qualified for Double delight/Hat-trick Heaven, and was a positive expected value (EV+) bet at 5.00/5.70, even if DDHH did not trigger.
Also, every day until Christmas, spend £5+ over the counter in a Betfred shop – get a free scratchcard. I got a free £1 lotto bet. Other prizes include: £1 free bet on sports or free spins on gaming machines.
Monday 10 December 2018 – Everton vs. Watford: Refund if a draw on losing first goalscorer, correct score, and half-time/full-time (the latter only with The Grid loyalty card).
Qualifying bet: I backed Everton to win 2-1 at 15/2 (8.50) in Ladbrokes shop. The lay was 9.0 at Smarkets.
Free bet refund: The match ended 2-2, so I put the £20 free bet refund on Liverpool to beat Napoli 1-0 at 10/1 (11.0).
I laid £15 at odds of 11.00 on Smarkets.
Liverpool did win 1-0, so that was £50 profit from the slight underlay.
Tuesday 11 December 2018 – Liverpool vs. Napoli money back offer – Refund if Liverpool win:
I backed £10 on Salah at 7/2 (4.5) in Paddy Power shop.
I laid £8.50 at 5.00 on Smarkets for a £1 profit as Salah did net the first goal.
Betfair Exchange Odds On offer
The offer: Place a back bet (up to £10) on a horse at minimum odds of 4.0. Refund as cash if it trades at 1.99 or lower in-play and loses.
Available on one selected meeting each day.
Thursday 13th December yielded 3 x £10 cash refunds on the following horses at Newcastle:
- 12.10 – Murchison
- 12.40 – Digging Deep
- 13.45 – Ravenhill Road
Strategy: I’ve even backing £10 at Betfair exchange on a horse as close as possible to odds of 4.0, then laying £8.75 to £9.00 on the same horses in the “Win” market at Matchbook or Smarkets.
William Hill PDC darts
Place a £10 (or £5 each-way) on the PDC World darts outright winner market, get a £10 free bet for PDC darts.
Several players were a good odds match for the qualifier, I.e. Daryl Gurney at 33/1 (34.0) and 34.0 to lay.
This weekend sees plenty of football and darts promotions. Here’s a selection of some of the better weekend offers:
PDC darts offers
- Bet365 2up – payout if your player goes 2 sets ahead.
- Unibet:. Up to £50 cash refund if your player loses the match but has the highest checkout.
- Betway: Bet 3 x £10 at 2.00+, get a £10 free bet the next day.
- Betfred online: Place 3 x £10 qualifier at Evens (2.00) or above, get a £10 the next day.
Weekend football offers
Paddy Power: Free bet refund (up to £10) on losing first goalscorer, last goalscorer, anytime scorer and correct score bets if Liverpool beat Man Utd on Sunday 16 December 2018.
Bet365 2up on major European leagues football.